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19
Oct
2007

Appia Capital’s Warnings As European Structured Finance Heads For First Decline In History

According to Appia Capital analysts, the European structured finance market is on course to record its first decline in full-year new issuance volumes since its inception in the early 1990s after deal flow plunged in the third quarter as a result of the credit crisis.


(1888PressRelease) October 19, 2007 - Appia Capital is said to have released a report earlier this week in which Appia’s head of European securitization research, said total third quarter volumes had hit €84bn ($119bn) with a “paltry” €19bn of sales in September alone - some 60 %æ>–lÚ‰˜íompared to the same month a year ago.

At that level, he said volumes are at their lowest since the first three months of 2006 and that full-year sales are unlikely to surpass issuance last year.

This, he added, would mark “the first decline in annual volumes since the inception of the European asset-backed securities and collateralized debt obligation market.”

The €1.3 trillion ($1.84 trillion) European structured finance market, which comprises securitized products such as mortgage-backed bonds and more sophisticated CDOs, has recorded year-on-year growth in volumes over the last 17 or so years.

However, according to top analysts at Appia Capital, the turmoil over the last three-and-half months has cut right through investor demand for such specialist products, causing unprecedented disorder and issuance volumes to plunge.

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